Posted in NFL Draft

Determining Draft Positions Within Rounds

by Staff Report on April 4, 2010

After reading what Michael Band of DraftAce.com recently did by using Pro-Football-Reference.com “Career Approximate Value” to determine draft slotting per round through the first three rounds we here at Bucs Central decided to expand on the idea a little further and run it through all sevens rounds.

In order to accomplish this task we needed to assign a value to each player selected. Fortunately, the folks at Pro-Football-Reference.com have already done this. PFR has developed a statistic which they call “approximate value.”  It assigns a number to each player based on his value in a given season. Add it all up and you get his “career approximate value.” The formula is complicated so I won’t bother to get into the details, but if you’re curious you can read about it here.

Career Average Value By Round By Position
RoundCDBDEDTOGLBQBRBOTTEWR
120.320.017.722.622.024.624.526.625.023.120.7
212.017.214.18.414.616.73.212.018.012.011.9
332.07.59.77.912.010.85.99.111.014.57.1
48.49.911.77.77.59.85.710.08.08.88.1
512.74.97.46.59.85.00.96.65.15.74.9
61.94.53.35.07.35.23.01.72.92.61.7
71.94.04.21.62.53.72.81.63.22.62.4
Position Average All Rounds12.79.79.78.510.810.86.69.710.59.98.1
Career Average Value Difference from Average Player at Position
RoundCDBDEDTOGLBQBRBOTTEWR
17.610.37.914.111.213.817.917.014.513.212.6
2-0.77.54.3-0.13.85.9-3.42.37.52.13.8
319.3-2.20.0-0.61.20.0-0.7-0.60.54.6-1.0
4-4.30.22.0-0.8-3.3-1.0-0.90.3-2.5-1.10.0
50-4.9-2.3-2.0-1.0-5.8-5.7-3.1-5.3-4.2-3.2
6-10.9-5.2-6.4-3.6-3.5-5.7-3.6-8.0-7.6-7.3-6.4
7-10.9-5.7-5.5-6.9-8.3-7.1-3.7-8.0-7.3-7.3-5.7
Position Value Per Round Order
Round
1QBRBOTDTLBTEWROGDBDEC
2OTDBLBDEOGWRRBTEDTCQB
3CTEOGOTLBDERBDTDBQBWR
4DEDBRBWRDTQBLBTEOTOGC
5COGDTDERBWRTEDBOTQBLB
6OGQBDTDBLBDEWRTEOTRBC
7QBDEDBWRDTLBOTTERBOGC
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