Bucs Central
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Jameis Winston had his best first half of the season completing 13 of 19 attempts and 2 touchdowns. He also had two drops by eligible receivers.  On the first sack it’s clear that Winston and the running back were not in  sync and screwed the play up at the mesh point. The second sack, Winston was trying to climb the pocket, when it looks like a Falcon defender used his leg to trip Winston.

Jameis Winston, was average to below average from a  completion and ball placement standpoint. However, there were some positives to glean from his performance. He had his best showing of the season throwing to the right sideline; completing 5 of 8 passes, and was 2 of 2 under pressure when throwing to the right sideline. On his touchdown to tight end Cameron Brate, the Bucs were in 13 Shotgun personnel (1RB, 3TE, 1WR) – it’s the first time the team showed the formation in a  game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers on offense, in week 7, unveiled three new personnel packages that they had not shown previously this season under Dirk Kotter. They were; 02 (0RB, 2TE, 3WR), S10(Shotgun 1RB, 0TE, 4WR) and S21 (Shotgun 2RB, 0TE, 3WR) the first gained 31 yards on a  pass play to Mike Evans. The second was a pass play the was not completed – it was the deep pass into the endzone with the ball being thrown just out of the reach and slightly to the outside of Evans. The last one was a screen pass that went for 11 yards to A. Smith.

The Bucs ran behind six offensive linemen a total of 13 times for 96-yards and passed out of the formation 2 times for 10 yards . They used three tight ends 7 times gaining a  total of 27 yards.

Defensively the team unveiled a different look utilizing the 3-3-5 (3DL, 3LB, 5DB) showing it a total of 15 times, all with Daryl Smith as the roving stand-up player ether dropping in coverage or rushing the passer. The 49ers passed 14 out of 15 times gaining a total of 42 yards, two of the teams three sacks came from this formation.

Noah Spence had his best day as an edge rusher and just missed out on two more sacks as he could not hold on to his prey (Colin Kaepernick) – He did record his second sack of the season and has a batted pass.

Jameis Winston, had his best passing performance of the season, in week 7, against the San Francisco 49ers; On third down, Winston completed 80% of his attempts (8 of 10, 1 TD) – was 4 of 5, in the redzone  with 3 TDs. Under pressure, Winston completed 64% of his passes (7 of 11, 1TD & 1 Int).

On the lone interception, Winston initial read was to the left. Bucs are lined up in Shotgun 11 personnel (1 RB, 1TE, 3WR) 11-Adam Humphries motion from trips side (right) to left. 49ers blitz CB from right. 10-Cecil Shorts left wide open!  After reading through his progression on the left Winston scanned to the middle – 55-Ahmad Brooks lined up in wide 9 stance – at snap Dotson takes lateral outside quick set – Brooks takes quick outside jab step then knives inside crossing face of Dotson –beating Dotson inside with no help. Typically the rule of thumb for offensive lineman is that you do not quick set unless you have a guard sliding with you and it’s a three step drop.

Compounding matters is that, Dotson did not shuffle feet in his kick slide – but rather  hopped outside –  i.e. leaving his feet off the grass – leaving him vulnerable  to an inside move – as he was off balance with no foot to grass contact.  Brooks did nothing extraordinary on the play. It was a complete mental breakdown of blocking rules and technique by Dotson. That allowed quick pressure.

With no one sliding with Dotson – it should have been an angle set where Dotson looks to take away the outside while maintaining inside out leverage  to prevent the defender from attacking his inside shoulder where there is no help.

The offense was balanced versus the CarolinaPanthers, in week 5; 34 runs to 35 pass attempts. The game plan was to emphases the run, with 9 runs to starts a drive. The Bucs ran behind 6 offensive linemen, 15 times and utilized two tight ends sets 36 times. They decided to forgo the use of shotgun – using it on a  mere 24 plays, out of 69. The team’s lowest percentage through the first five games.

Defensively, the team held the Panthers to a 22% conversation rate on third down. It’s an even more impressive feat considering the Panthers had an average distance to gain of 2.5 yards, on third down. The defense blitzed Derek Anderson on 7 of 29 attempts. Sending 5-rushers, five times and sending 6-rushers, twice. Both the defenses interceptions came on early downs.

Over the past two games – the Buccaneers, or more realistically Dirk Koetter has been limiting the number of passing attempts, Jameis Winston takes during the course of a  game. Down from nearly 45 attempts a game to  a season-low of 30 versus the Carolina Panthers. The Bucs decided to emphasize the run, with 6 offensive lineman and 2 tight ends, for much of the game. A renewed attempt to impose your will on the opposition. And, what do you know, the Bucs got their second win of the season. It was not all sunshine in rainbows however,   Winston struggled versus pressure, completing 1 of 6 on the night, with 2 drops, one by Cameron Brate and one by Mike Evans.

 

Winston continues to struggle on throws to the right sidelines, for the season he is 2 of 15 overall and 0 of 5 versus pressure.

 

A couple things this week: first the Bucs used 10 personnel (1RB, 0TE, 4WR) for the first time running the personnel package twice, both times passing out of the formation – neither pass attempt was completed. On defense the team used 5-3-3 (5DL, 3LB, 3DB) – during a goal-line play, they were unable to stop the play – resulting in a one-yard touchdown run by the Broncos.

Daryl Smith was pressed into duty on multiple occasions as a defensive end – lining up at both left and right defensive end after Noah Spence went down with a shoulder injury.

 

Through the first quarter of games, Jameis Winston is averaging 44.5 pass attempts per game. He has completed 68% of his passes when targeting the left side of the field. Conversely when he attempts a pass to the right side of the field he completes 52% of his passes or 16% less than when attempting passes to the left.

On passes traveling 21 plus yards through the air – Winston has completed 31% of his 16 attempts, for three touchdowns, three interceptions, and three Defensive Pass Interference (DPI) penalties. When under pressure Winston has completed 19 of 39 passes for a completion percentage of 49%.

On 3rd down, Winston is 22 of 40 good for a completion percentage of 55%.

Below you will find Winston’s accuracy chart for his week four match-up against the Denver Broncos and his cumulative accuracy chart.

I know it’s late! But better, than not doing it at all. Below you will find the Play-By-Play extrapolation for Week 3. In the spreadsheet below, you will find both the “Analysing Koetter” and “Smith Report” an inside look at the numbers from both an offensive and defensive perspective, along with the actual play-by-play data.

Emotionless, lackluster, uninspiring and heartless for the most part describes, the players on this team! There is a disease coursing through the veins of some. It’s, as though some are afraid of success or do not know how to embrace expectations. it’s as though, most if not, the majority of players are in an enigmatic state of flux as they internally struggle with their own selves on how to compete and impose their will on opposing teams.

They cower –going into a shell-shocked state the instant, they are faced with the slightest hint of adversity.

There is no dog in any of these damn players!

And, for the record Vincent Jackson is sulking because he is not the number one, number two or even number three option in this offense. Based strictly on who is being fed the football the team has been phasing Jackson out as he is in the twilight of his career – carrying a $12 million dollar cap charge this season. Jackson has allowed his concision and ego to play out in a similar fashion to that of Keyshawn Johnson, its time to cut bait and allow players who are hungry and playing for a future in this league to compete.

Jameis Winston, against the Arizona Cardinals was harassed for much of the day! The Cardinals defense sent 5 or more rushers at Winston on 48% of his dropbacks. A trend that is sure to continue throughout the remainder of the teams games, until Winston shows a  consistency to beat pressure. Another alarming trend, that seems to be highlighted through the first two games this season, is Dirk Koetters play calling on first down and Winston’s gunslinger mentality to go for broke and force the deep ball.
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Below is Winston’s cumulative accuracy chart for the season. Note Winston, when under pressure is 9 of 21 – good for a completion percentage of 42.8%.

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